Customer and problem: provisional target is recreational cyclists in the named district who live in apartments, own a serviceable bicycle, and find shop transport inconvenient. Six of ten convenience-sample conversations support the inconvenience signal; this does not estimate district demand. Exclude urgent repairs, customers outside the pickup zone, and work beyond verified skill or equipment.
Offer: Saturday pickup, basic tune-up, Sunday return at a proposed CNY 188. Exact service checklist, exclusions, damage inspection, cancellation, turnaround exceptions, and customer approval for added parts are unknown and must be defined before deposits.
Operating model: current maximum is 8 pickups per weekend using the owned cargo bicycle. The 12-hour weekly limit implies 1.5 hours per order at 8 orders before admin and travel; actual repair and route time are unverified, making capacity a critical hypothesis. Do not buy a van for the test.
Known direct arithmetic: revenue per order CNY 188; consumables CNY 18; payment fee CNY 1.88; provisional direct contribution before labor, travel, replacement parts, refunds, insurance, tax, and damage is CNY 168.12. This is not profit. Six completed orders would produce CNY 1,008.72 on that incomplete basis.
Four-week tests: spend up to CNY 600 on a district-only landing page and recruitment. Pass demand only with at least 8 deposits from 40 verified local visitors; otherwise fail, while fewer than 40 qualified visitors is inconclusive. Run no more than 6 paid jobs only after service scope, intake evidence, safety, insurance, permits, and customer terms are checked. Pass operations if all 6 fit 12 hours/week, meet promised return, and direct variable contribution remains positive with actual parts/travel logged.
Stop or revise if required coverage or permits are unavailable, repair skill does not match scope, damage exposure is unacceptable, or capacity fails. Seek local legal, tax, and insurance advice; none is inferred here.
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